An interesting betting system for in-live soccer betting – Part Two

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A few days ago we talked about an interesting betting statistic that I found in one of the betting forums I regularly read. It’s about what happens after the visiting team in a football match succeed to score in the first five minutes of the match.

So far we have discussed such matches from the English Premier League and Bundesliga in Germany.

However, if we look at the matches in France, we can see that the statistics show that this is the league in which it is the least possible for the home team to recover and reach victory after receiving an early goal. This means that if you see a match where the guests lead up within the very first minutes you can safely bet in-play in their favor. Most likely it will be a successful bet.

Of course, you need at first to carefully analyze the proposed by the bookmakers betting odds as it is determining whether your bet will be justified or not.

For the other two leagues and especially the Spanish Primera Division can be said that they are far less predictable and more difficult than the others. However, in both championships most probably such a match will end with results like 1-2 and 0:2.

Something else that can be seen from these data is that in Italy the home team has most chances to equalize almost immediately. This can be used if you decide to bet on which team will score the next goal of the match.

Of course, it’s just a betting statistic and we all could make different conclusions from it. However, it should be carefully analyzed and probably implemented in different ways, according to the way of betting a player prefer. One thing is certain, this is a statistic that is more than curious and interesting for all who enjoy sports betting.

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An interesting betting system for in-live soccer betting

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While browsing in one of my favorite betting forums on the internet I came across a very interesting statistics that may be useful to those who bet in-play on football matches.

The statistics cover matches in which the away team was able to score a goal in the first five minutes and thus to take an early lead in the match. These statistics cover the five major championships Premier League in England, Serie A in Italy, Primera Division in Spain, Ligue 1 in France and Bundesliga in Germany.

What does this betting data show?

An interesting fact is that in Germany the chances of the home team to do a complete reversal are higher than everywhere – about 25%. It allows in-play betting, although it is unlikely that easily to get odds for a home win at 4 so early in the match. However, if you decide to wait until halftime to take better odds, then the chances for the home team to recover will be highly reduced.

However, after an early goal for the visitors the most likely outcome of the match in the Bundesliga is 1:1. Such result occurs around 22% of matches, which is more than an excellent result. However, it is also unlikely to get odds of 4.5 for a draw, which to give you the option to make a bet. On the other hand, a bet on the exact score of the match is more than good.

The next most likely outcome after an early goal for the visitors in the Bundesliga is 1:2, which occurs in 12% of the matches, followed by 3:2, which again occurs in 12% of the matches.

The betting statistics are quite interesting in the matches of the Premier League. They show that the most likely outcome in such matches is 2-1 for the hosts. Moreover, according to the statistics the majority of goals scored by the hosts are in the second half and even after the 60th minute. This will ensure you excellent odds at the end of the match for the home team to win.

However, you should note that the next four most likely results in the matches of the Premier League after an early goal scored by the guests are for an away win.

More data to follow after a few days.

Three reasons why Chelsea can win the UEFA Champions League

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Chelsea’s domineering display against Galatasaray on Tuesday night proved Jose Mourinho’s men are the real deal in the UEFA Champions League.

Relentless pressure in midfield, clever counter-attacks and clinical finishing all played out in front of a yet another stingy defensive display.

The West London club are likely to be the Premier League’s only representatives in the last eight of the UCL, (barring a valiant fightback from Manchester United against Olympiakos on Wednesday) so they’ll be flying the St. George’s flag in Europe for the rest of the season.

But how long will that be for? Here are three reasons why Chelsea can go all the way and lift the ‘big eared’ trophy in Lisbon on May 24.

Solid defense

Chelsea have only conceded four goals in eight UCL matches this season, and have kept five clean sheets. With John Terry and Gary Cahill marshaling central defense, Petr Cech racking up 100 appearances in the UCL, plus Cesar Azpilicueta and Branislav Ivanovic steady and dependable at full back, many of Europe’s best offensive sides will struggle to break down the ‘Blue curtain’. We all know Mourinho loves a 1-0 win and to rub it in the faces of his opposition, there will be plenty of that as Terry and co. throw themselves in front of crosses and shots until their little hearts are content. Add in the fact that Chelsea have now conceded they won’t be an expansive, glitzy side just yet, and they will play to their strengths to beat Europe’s elite. Solid defense, with clinical finishing, that should be the plan.

Experienced players leading the way

In any walk of life, experience goes a long way. As we mentioned, Cech has 100 UCL appearances to his name, Frank Lampard has 73, then John Terry has 99 and the list goes on and on. Against Galatasaray Samuel Eto’o scored his 30th Champions League goal, just the 14th player to reach that milestone, and all of this adds up to giving Chelsea the edge when it really matters.

Of course having too much experience (a.k.a. oldsters who are struggling to get around the pitch) won’t work, but the Blues have a great mix of youngsters who are contributing and learning from their veteran leaders. Eden Hazard, Oscar and Willian augment the experienced core around them, as most of these players have “been there, done that” in the UCL and lifted the trophy before. That counts for an awful lot in the last eight and beyond.

The ‘Mou factor’

Love him, hate him… we all know Chelsea’s manager Jose Mourinho is a born winner. The man who has already won two Champions League titles in two different countries (with FC Porto and Inter Milan) is eager to add a third to his collection, with many believing he’d prefer a UCL crown over the PL title. Regardless, Mourinho will set up his team to annoy opponents and pounce on the counter to devastating effect. This is the environment where the ‘Special One’ earns his corn and sets himself above the rest. With a large squad challenging for two titles, he will have to be a master of alternating lineups and using certain players only in Europe or the PL exclusively. Rallying calls aren’t really his thing anymore, so it would seem, and with a strong core of leaders Mourinho doesn’t have to give vast monologues of tactical instructions in the locker room to get his point across.

Instead it’s the finer details, as Jose knows better than anyone, which push you over the finishing line to win a UCL crown. Chelsea have a long way to go until a second UCL title arrives in West London, but with Jose on board, I like their odds of getting through two more rounds and at least reaching the final in Lisbon. In Jose’s homeland of Portugal, he may become the first manager in history to win the UEFA Champions League with three different teams from three different countries. That’s the ‘Mou factor’.